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Crown Green Handicap

Sue Shaw

Team: Pensby CDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

633

Current Handicap

13
Honours
Season:

80

Matches Played

25

Wins

55

Losses

31%

Win Rate

7.6

Avg Win Margin

9.3

Avg Loss Margin

12-25

Home Record

13-30

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
80 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/4/2021

A large recent sample: 80 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins25/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 80 matches

+13 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Apr29 Jun17 May12 Jul6 Jun1 Aug3 Jul19 May4 Aug-1371115

Gives 13 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current13
Win Percentage(35%)
31%
score-0.38→contribution-0.13
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.6
score-0.06→contribution-0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.3
score-0.22→contribution-0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(15%)
910
score-0.49→contribution-0.07
Weighted Score-0.297
Sample Size Confidence
100%(80/33 matches)
Rating881 → shrunk 881→ adjusted 633
Handicap
13

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

25W55L80 matches·31.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2016–2021Division C79255431.6%
Pensby B2017Division B1010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/4/2021vs Thingwall BH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
8/3/2021Kenneth WilliamsA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/27/2021Roy WestonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/8/2021Robert McguiganH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
6/30/2021vs Bromborough Pool BH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
6/23/2021vs Pensby BH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/16/2021vs Bebington ParkH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/15/2021Grzegorz OrzechA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/8/2021Jim IvanoffA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
6/1/2021John HenshallA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
5/25/2021Linda BiggsA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision C
5/19/2021vs Sea DogH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/18/2021Nicky BaileyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
8/20/2019Ben PovallA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
8/14/2019vs Heswall Rbl BH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
8/8/2019Doreen ButlerA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
8/7/2019vs Hoylake Central & MelroseA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
8/1/2019Alan MawbyA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/30/2019Ken KerrA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/24/2019vs KendalH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/23/2019Clifford ParnellA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
7/3/2019vs Sea DogH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision C
6/27/2019Edna MillerA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
6/19/2019vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision C
6/5/2019vs Bromborough Pool BH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
5/22/2019vs Thingwall BH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
5/15/2019vs Bromborough Recs BH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
5/9/2019George LowdenA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
8/21/2018Margaret ProwseA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
8/8/2018vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
8/1/2018vs Hoylake Central & MelroseA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
7/26/2018Anthony ClareA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/25/2018vs Oxton Cons CH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/24/2018George LowdenA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
7/12/2018Sue TilstonA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/4/2018Peter SteeleH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/3/2018vs Bebington ParkA21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision C
6/21/2018Dereck SnedkerA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/13/2018vs Hoylake Central & MelroseH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C
6/6/2018vs Oxton Cons CA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
5/30/2018vs NestonH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
5/23/2018vs Sea DogH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
5/16/2018vs Thingwall BH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
5/10/2018Gordon BarnesA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision C
8/22/2017Peter SteeleH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
8/10/2017Andrew ParnellA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
8/1/2017John BurkeA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
7/20/2017Brenda CoppleA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/12/2017vs Oxton Cons CA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/6/2017Arthur JonesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/5/2017vs Bromborough Recs BH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
6/29/2017Robert McguiganA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
6/21/2017vs Thingwall BH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
6/15/2017Brian HarrisA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
6/8/2017Ken KerrA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
6/7/2017vs Bebington ParkH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
5/31/2017vs Heswall Rbl BH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
5/25/2017Len WheddonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/17/2017vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
5/16/2017Ted PolandA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
5/10/2017vs Oxton Cons CH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
8/10/2016vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
8/9/2016Gordon LavenderA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/27/2016Keith LoughrinH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/26/2016Ann PritchardH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/13/2016vs Thingwall BH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
7/6/2016Trevor DuckersH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/5/2016Colin LitsterA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/30/2016Philip BlackA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision C
6/29/2016vs Hoylake CentralH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
6/23/2016Arthur JonesH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
6/9/2016Margaret ProwseA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/2/2016Doreen ButlerA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
5/31/2016Alan KellyA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
5/18/2016vs Oxton Cons CH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
5/17/2016Mike WalshA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
5/11/2016vs Albany BH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
5/10/2016Ron WilsonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
4/27/2016vs Sea DogH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
4/26/2016Jean RobertsA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
Geoff Clare Trophy8 games · 1W
20211 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundTony SnutchThingwall B8-21LOSSLOST
20193 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundKeith LoughrinKendal14-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundKevin HowgatePt Sunlight Vill & Wks B6-21LOSSWON
Final RoundPaul DraperBebington Park21-19WINLOST
20182 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundGordon DitchfieldBebington Park10-21LOSSWON
Semi Final RoundAlan MathewsOxton Cons C17-21LOSSLOST
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundGordon LavenderBromborough Recs B7-21LOSSLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundBarry BawdenOxton Cons C2-21LOSSLOST
George ONeill Trophy7 games · 3W
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundAdam Rowlands / Ross MilliganThingwall B3-15LOSSLOST
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundGraham Walker / Bill DowOxton Cons4-15LOSSLOST
20172 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJake Mcelnay / Nigel LoweAlbany B15-7WINWON
Round of 16 RoundJohn Wyburn / George LowdenSea Dog15-13WINWON
20163 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJim Morris / Douglas RaphelBebington Park B13-15LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundJack Jones / Paul GriffithsTixall B2-15LOSSWON
Quarters RoundKevin Howgate / Ian DoughertyPort Sunlight V&w15-11WINWON

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

10

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLWL
Last 1030% win rate— steady
LLLWLLLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Thingwall B23540%8/4/2021
Oxton Cons C14520%7/25/2018
Sea Dog22450%5/19/2021
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B13425%6/19/2019
Bebington Park21366.7%6/16/2021
Hoylake Central & Melrose12333.3%8/7/2019
Robert Mcguigan202100%7/8/2021
Bromborough Pool B0220%6/30/2021
Heswall Rbl B11250%8/14/2019
Doreen Butler11250%8/8/2019
Biggest Win
Unknown (+19)7/3/2018
Heaviest Defeat
Linda Biggs (-19)5/25/2021
Nemesis
Oxton Cons C1-4 H2H
Best Season
201844% · 16 matches
Worst Season
201611% · 19 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
30% → 33%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
79535 known · 45 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
8-2723% win rate

By Division

Division C25-54 (32%)
Division B0-1 (0%)
Division B0%
0W·1L·1 played
Division C31.6%
25W·54L·79 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

Aug 4, 2021

Seasons Active

5 (5.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

16.0 (80 total)

Seasons

20162017201820192021